PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
GAE
3 - 5
PSV
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
UTR
4 - 3
PSV
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
HFC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
AZA
2 - 2
PSV
22%
27%
52%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
PSV
0 - 2
FEY
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |