PSNI vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
12º
12º
35
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 2
PSN
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOL
6 - 0
PSN
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
PSN
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PSN
2 - 6
MOY
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 0
NEW
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 1
BAN
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 2
LIM
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
BAL
16%
20%
63%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |