Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-2
Progresul Bucureşti vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresul Bucureşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PRO
4 - 1
FAR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
UTA
1 - 2
PRO
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
TIR
0 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
PRO
2 - 1
FCM
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
TIR
0 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
TIR
4 - 1
ERZ
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
SHK
0 - 1
TIR
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
TIR
2 - 2
DIN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
TEU
0 - 1
TIR
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |