Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 2
PRO
16%
18%
66%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
HAN
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
BEL
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
PRO
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
SPP
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 1
PLA
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
HAN
42%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
PLA
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |