Progresso vs Port Layola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
7º
4º
28
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 8
PRO
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
BDC
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 2
SPP
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 2
PLA
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 2
HAN
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
BDC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
PLA
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |