Progresso vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
63.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
0 - 2
MRF
25%
20%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARO
30%
20%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 0
PRO
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
NAU
5 - 0
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
PRO
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAO
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 0
NAU
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MRF
1 - 2
BAR
43%
23%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
ARO
0 - 0
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 0
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |