AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
14º
14º
8
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 43 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
PRA
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SMI
4 - 2
PRA
30%
22%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 2
FSL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
SKA
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 3
RFA
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
RIG
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |