Progreso vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 5
PRO
30%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HFC
2 - 3
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSM
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 4
CEN
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ATE
5 - 2
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
HFC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ROC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |