Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
PRO
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
4 - 2
TAC
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ATE
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CSM
1 - 1
ROC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 2
HFC
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 1
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
CEL
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |