Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 2
PRO
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 4
PRO
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 2
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 1
CSC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BVS
4 - 0
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 0
CSM
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DAN
3 - 0
ROC
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 0
TAC
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |