Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 4
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LFC
4 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
JUN
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 3
CSC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 1
CSM
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DAN
3 - 1
RIV
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 3
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |