Progreso vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
REN
3 - 2
PRO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
SUD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 2
PRO
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CSM
3 - 3
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BVS
2 - 0
CSM
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BVS
2 - 0
DEP
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 4
BVS
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BOS
1 - 2
BVS
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BVS
0 - 0
ETS
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |