Progreso vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HBU
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 3
FEN
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CSC
1 - 1
BOS
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BOS
1 - 1
ATE
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOS
1 - 2
REN
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BOS
2 - 2
DUR
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |