Progreso vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
2º
34
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 4
PRO
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 1
JUN
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 2
PRO
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
UMO
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 1
ALB
28%
27%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 2
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 0
ALB
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |