Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIV
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 3
PEÑ
15%
23%
61%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 6
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 2
PEÑ
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 6
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATE
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |