Progresista vs Goian B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 2
PRO
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TEB
4 - 4
PRO
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
RAC
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 3
PRO
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Goian B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 2
OIE
39%
21%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
2 - 3
GOI
37%
21%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 3
GOI
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 2
GUI
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 0
TEB
13%
15%
72%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |