Pro Vercelli Sub 19 vs Novara Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
PRO
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
SPE
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 4
NOV
15%
21%
65%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 2
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |