Prisons XI vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
15º
14º
39
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
POL
0 - 0
PRI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 4
ORA
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
HGH
0 - 2
PRI
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 2
EAN
38%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 0
SUA
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOW
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAS
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
EXT
1 - 1
BOT
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 0
BOT
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |