Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 0
STP
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
RBL
2 - 2
PRE
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
PRE
3 - 0
WAC
59%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 1
BAB
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UNT
3 - 0
PRE
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ERF
3 - 0
HAL
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SVS
0 - 1
ERF
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 0
ERF
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ERF
2 - 4
DAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
BOR
4 - 3
ERF
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |