Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 0
PRE
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
WEH
1 - 0
PRE
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 1
VFR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
WER
0 - 1
PRE
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
3 - 0
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
VFR
3 - 0
KÖL
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 0
FSV
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
0 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SGS
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |