Preußen Münster vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 0
PRE
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PRE
5 - 2
TEN
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
EBT
2 - 1
PRE
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
PRE
2 - 2
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
BOR
0 - 3
PRE
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAB
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
ERZ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SAC
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
TEN
0 - 1
ERZ
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EBT
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |