Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
QPR
3 - 2
PNE
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
PNE
1 - 1
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 0
PNE
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
PNE
4 - 1
CHE
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PNE
1 - 1
WBA
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
REA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
65%
23%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 0
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |