Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1890 |
NOT
2 - 1
PNE
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1890 |
WOL
2 - 0
PNE
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1890 |
PNE
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1890 |
BOL
1 - 0
PNE
36%
23%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1890 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1890 |
DER
2 - 6
EVE
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1890 |
DER
1 - 2
STA
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1890 |
WBA
3 - 4
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1890 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1890 |
BUR
6 - 1
DER
57%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |