Championship Round 28

Preston North End vs Birmingham City analysis

Preston North End Birmingham City
71 ELO 61
-4.7% Tilt 2.5%
981º General ELO ranking 625º
35º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Preston North End
22.6%
Draw
13.6%
Birmingham City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.6%
Win probability
Birmingham City
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Preston North End
-6%
+2%
Birmingham City

ELO progression

Preston North End
Birmingham City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2018
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
41%
27%
32%
71 69 2 0
06 Jan. 2018
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 5
Preston North End
PNE
20%
22%
58%
70 59 11 +1
01 Jan. 2018
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
39%
28%
33%
70 74 4 0
29 Dec. 2017
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
50%
25%
24%
70 73 3 0
26 Dec. 2017
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
36%
26%
38%
70 63 7 0

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2018
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 3
Derby County
DER
23%
27%
50%
61 75 14 0
06 Jan. 2018
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
39%
26%
36%
60 62 2 +1
02 Jan. 2018
REA
Reading
0 - 2
Birmingham City
BIR
65%
22%
13%
59 69 10 +1
30 Dec. 2017
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
18%
24%
58%
58 73 15 +1
26 Dec. 2017
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Norwich City
NOR
19%
24%
57%
59 73 14 -1