Preston North End vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
MID
2 - 2
PNE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
4 - 1
PNE
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 0
LEE
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
STO
6 - 3
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 3
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
MID
2 - 2
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |