Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D. Jor. 25

Praiense vs Lusitania FC analysis

Praiense Lusitania FC
50 ELO 32
0.1% Tilt 4.2%
20228º General ELO ranking 3769º
307º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
77.6%
Praiense
14.9%
Draw
7.6%
Lusitania FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
Praiense
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
Lusitania FC
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Praiense
-3%
+45%
Lusitania FC

ELO progression

Praiense
Lusitania FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Praiense
Praiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2018
MAF
Mafra
1 - 0
Praiense
PRA
52%
24%
25%
50 54 4 0
04 Mar. 2018
PRA
Praiense
1 - 0
Eléctrico
ELE
80%
14%
7%
50 32 18 0
25 Feb. 2018
FAT
Fatima
1 - 5
Praiense
PRA
34%
25%
42%
49 44 5 +1
18 Feb. 2018
PRA
Praiense
2 - 1
Sacavenense
SAC
47%
27%
27%
48 51 3 +1
11 Feb. 2018
SIN
Sintrense
3 - 0
Praiense
PRA
25%
24%
51%
49 42 7 -1

Matches

Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2018
LUS
Lusitania FC
0 - 4
Vilafranquense
VIL
18%
25%
57%
34 48 14 0
04 Mar. 2018
1DE
1º Dezembro
2 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
48%
26%
26%
35 39 4 -1
25 Feb. 2018
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 0
Caldas
CAL
17%
24%
59%
31 46 15 +4
18 Feb. 2018
TOR
Torreense
6 - 2
Lusitania FC
LUS
70%
19%
11%
32 47 15 -1
11 Feb. 2018
LUS
Lusitania FC
0 - 1
Loures
LOU
22%
26%
52%
33 44 11 -1
X