Mineiro 1 Trofeo Inconfidencia. Semi-finals
Global 6-6
Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 1
POA
24%
24%
53%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
65%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 1
POA
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
40 | 89 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |