Potros de Barinas vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potros de Barinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
PDB
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PDB
1 - 2
LLA
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
PDB
0 - 4
TUR
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 6
ESC
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
DIA
5 - 0
POL
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
YAR
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |