Potiguar Mossoró vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
POT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
POT
0 - 0
COR
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
4 - 0
ALE
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TDC
0 - 5
ABC
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ABC
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |