Potencia vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
POT
4 - 2
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UMO
2 - 3
POT
57%
21%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
POT
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
POT
0 - 2
CSY
37%
22%
41%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
POT
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
UMO
43%
23%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 7
BAS
39%
23%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 4
ALB
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
POT
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |