Rio Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Portuguesa RJ vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
POR
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
POR
18%
21%
62%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
OLA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
OLA
0 - 2
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
POR
19%
25%
57%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
PET
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
PET
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |