Portuguesa RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
QUI
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
TIG
38%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
FRI
1 - 0
SEC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
FRI
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
FRI
3 - 1
ANG
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FRI
4 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
FRI
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |