Portuguesa RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17%
76.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
VOL
3 - 3
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 2
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
CAB
4 - 1
POR
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
CAM
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
RES
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 3
FLU
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
CRI
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |