Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Portuguesa RJ vs Amazonas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
NVE
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 1
POR
34%
31%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
AIM
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
34%
31%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Amazonas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAG
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
JCA
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
AFC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
6 - 0
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |