Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
GVA
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
GVA
1 - 0
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 0
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CFC
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ZUL
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 6
ESC
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
URE
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
ESC
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |