Portugalete vs CD Elgoibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 2
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
BEA
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LON
1 - 0
POR
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
LAU
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Elgoibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
ELG
1 - 0
LON
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LAU
0 - 2
ELG
68%
21%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ELG
0 - 1
CDU
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
EIB
3 - 2
ELG
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ELG
1 - 2
ZAL
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |