Portugalete vs Eibar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ZAL
3 - 1
POR
34%
30%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
CDU
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
RSO
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 2
ZAL
40%
29%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CDU
4 - 0
EIB
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 5
BAS
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 3
EIB
21%
26%
52%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 0
ZAM
61%
24%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |