Portugalete vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
RUN
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
BEA
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
DEU
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 3
GER
18%
22%
59%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
CDD
0 - 0
SNT
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
CDD
0 - 0
SNT
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
DAC
1 - 1
CDD
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |