Portugalete vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DEU
1 - 1
POR
12%
21%
67%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
PAS
74%
18%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SDA
3 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
RUN
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 2
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZAL
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 1
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUR
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ELG
1 - 3
BAS
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 2
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |