Portugal U20 vs New Zealand U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
PRT
1 - 0
CMR
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PRT
0 - 0
URY
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 0
PRT
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PRT
2 - 0
NGA
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 2
PRT
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
URY
1 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CMR
1 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 4
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
NZL
0 - 1
URY
12%
18%
71%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |