NI Third Division Round 11

Portstewart vs Lisburn Distillery analysis

Portstewart Lisburn Distillery
34 ELO 39
-5.6% Tilt 2%
7187º General ELO ranking 6484º
38º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
26%
Portstewart
21.1%
Draw
52.8%
Lisburn Distillery

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
Portstewart
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.8%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portstewart
+35%
-10%
Lisburn Distillery

ELO progression

Portstewart
Lisburn Distillery
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portstewart
Portstewart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
PSN
PSNI
3 - 1
Portstewart
POR
34%
22%
45%
35 26 9 0
04 Nov. 2023
QUB
Queens University Belfast
2 - 0
Portstewart
POR
83%
12%
6%
36 51 15 -1
28 Oct. 2023
POR
Portstewart
1 - 3
Ballymoney United
BMF
15%
18%
67%
37 51 14 -1
21 Oct. 2023
POR
Portstewart
1 - 2
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
21%
23%
57%
37 52 15 0
13 Oct. 2023
LIM
Limavady
3 - 0
Portstewart
POR
84%
11%
5%
38 54 16 -1

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 0
Armagh City
ARC
41%
24%
36%
39 42 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
RRF
Rosemount Rec
4 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
9%
13%
79%
42 13 29 -3
21 Oct. 2023
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 1
PSNI
PSN
73%
15%
12%
42 28 14 0
07 Oct. 2023
DOL
Dollingstown
2 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
41%
23%
36%
43 41 2 -1
03 Oct. 2023
BAL
Ballymena United
4 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
71%
18%
12%
44 60 16 -1