Porto II vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
80%
14%
7%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 1
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 3
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
5 - 0
NAC
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
29%
24%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEV
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIO
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |