Portland United vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BMR
1 - 0
POR
75%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
HAM
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
POR
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
STO
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 0
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BEM
6 - 0
PAG
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
PAG
5 - 0
BRO
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
LAV
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
HOR
9%
14%
78%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |