USL First Division - USA Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
MIB
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
MIN
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
POR
5 - 0
PRI
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MIN
2 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
CFO
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Seattle Sounders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SES
1 - 3
MIN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2004 |
SES
3 - 0
PRI
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SES
2 - 1
VAN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 1
SES
49%
24%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SES
2 - 0
MIN
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |