Portimonense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
COV
2 - 1
POR
15%
19%
65%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
TON
7 - 0
FOR
91%
8%
1%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VST
1 - 2
TON
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TON
1 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FEI
2 - 4
TON
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
VST
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |