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Primeira Liga. Matchday 12

Portimonense Farense
62 ELO 54
-40% Tilt 0%
399º General ELO ranking 806º
18º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Portimonense
30.6%
Draw
31.5%
Farense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Portimonense
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
31.5%
Win probability
Farense
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portimonense
-41%
+8%
Farense

Basic stats

63
37
POS
13
6
SOT
5
1
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
62
54
ELO
1.1
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Portimonense
Their league position
Farense
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
18º
14º
31
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sporting CP
85
85
100%
Porto
80
80
100%
Benfica
76
76
100%
Sporting Braga
64
64
100%
Paços de Ferreira
53
53
100%
CD Santa Clara
46
46
100%
Vitória Guimarães
43
43
50%
Moreirense
43
43
50%
Famalicão
40
40
50%
Belenenses
10º
40
40
10º
50%
Gil Vicente
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Tondela
12º
36
36
12º
50%
Boavista
13º
36
36
13º
50%
Portimonense
14º
35
35
14º
50%
Marítimo
15º
35
35
15º
50%
Rio Ave
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Farense
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Nacional
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Portimonense
Farense
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
UCL qualifying
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Farense
FAR
Portimonense
POR
Rio Ave
RIO
Gil Vicente
GFC
Estoril
EST
Academico Viseu
ACV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portimonense
Portimonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO POR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2020
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Portimonense
POR
84%
11%
5%
1508 3139 1631 -1
18 Dec. 2020
POR
Portimonense
0 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
46%
27%
27%
1508 1610 -102 0
05 Dec. 2020
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 0
Portimonense
POR
72%
17%
11%
1511 2465 954 -3
29 Nov. 2020
POR
Portimonense
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
55%
24%
21%
1504 1187 317 +7
20 Nov. 2020
ULE
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Portimonense
POR
29%
26%
45%
1519 777 -742 -14

Matches

Farense
Farense
1%
X%
2%
ELO FAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2020
FAR
Farense
1 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
35%
27%
38%
1128 1801 -673 +4
19 Dec. 2020
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Farense
FAR
84%
11%
5%
1130 2794 1664 -1
07 Dec. 2020
FAR
Farense
2 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
35%
27%
38%
1115 1773 -658 +15
03 Dec. 2020
CFE
CF Estrela
2 - 0
Farense
FAR
40%
28%
32%
1133 874 -259 -17
29 Nov. 2020
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Farense
FAR
82%
12%
6%
1133 2692 1559 -2