Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
POR
4 - 2
PEN
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
LLA
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 1
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 2
POR
45%
23%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 1
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
CEF
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 3
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEF
7 - 1
LLA
83%
12%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
CEF
40%
24%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |