Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
NEW
41%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
HAV
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 0
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
BAN
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
TNS
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CEF
2 - 1
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 3
CEF
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 2
CWM
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
TNS
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CEF
4 - 2
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |