Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
COL
3 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
LIM
85%
11%
5%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
CRU
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
INS
57%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |