Irish Cup Northern Ireland 1/16

Portadown vs Dergview FC analysis

Portadown Dergview FC
65 ELO 34
10.8% Tilt 14.3%
1574º General ELO ranking 6118º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
74.4%
Portadown
15.9%
Draw
9.8%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
Portadown
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
Dergview FC
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portadown
-1%
-48%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Portadown
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2009
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 2
Portadown
POR
19%
22%
59%
65 49 16 0
26 Dec. 2008
POR
Portadown
5 - 0
Larne
LAR
72%
18%
11%
65 44 21 0
17 Dec. 2008
LIN
Linfield
0 - 1
Portadown
POR
52%
23%
26%
64 69 5 +1
06 Dec. 2008
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
76%
16%
8%
64 50 14 0
02 Dec. 2008
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Linfield
LIN
32%
23%
45%
62 70 8 +2

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2009
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 1
Limavady
LIM
32%
24%
44%
35 46 11 0
27 Dec. 2008
COA
Coagh United
1 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
68%
19%
13%
35 47 12 0
20 Dec. 2008
CAR
Carrick Rangers
5 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
67%
19%
14%
36 44 8 -1
22 Nov. 2008
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 7
Loughgall
LOU
25%
25%
51%
37 52 15 -1
18 Nov. 2008
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
76%
16%
8%
37 62 25 0